THE KAVANAUGH EFFECT – AT 9:45 A.M. ET: Is it real? Is there a Kavanaugh effect in the electorate? We caution that polls are snapshots in time. We may not see the same numbers on election day. But there appears to be a Kavanaugh effect, and it is helping our side. From Rasmussen:
Republicans are madder about the Kavanaugh controversy than Democrats are and more determined to vote in the upcoming elections because of it.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 54% of all Likely U.S. Voters say they are more likely to vote in the upcoming midterm elections because of the controversy surrounding President Trump’s U.S. Supreme Court nominee. Only nine percent (9%) say they are less likely to vote. Thirty-four percent (34%) say the controversy will have no impact on their vote.
Sixty-two percent (62%) of Republicans are more likely to vote because of the Kavanaugh controversy, compared to 54% of Democrats and 46% of voters not affiliated with either major political party.
Sixty-two percent (62%) of all voters are angry about the U.S. Senate’s treatment of Kavanaugh, with 42% who are Very Angry. Fifty-six percent (56%) are angry about how the Senate treated Christine Blasey Ford, the woman who accused Kavanaugh of sexual assault, including 35% who are Very Angry.
Sixty-four percent (64%) of Republicans are Very Angry about the Senate’s treatment of Kavanaugh, a view shared by 30% of Democrats and 34% of unaffiliated voters. By comparison, fewer Democrats (48%) are Very Angry about the Senate’s treatment of Ford; 28% of GOP voters and 30% of unaffiliateds agree.
Democrats’ five-point lead on the weekly Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot has vanished. The two parties are now tied with less than a month until Election Day. We'll be watching to see if this is the beginning of a post-Kavanaugh trend.
COMMENT: Now is the time for political skill, led by President Trump and his uncanny way of speaking directly to people, a skill unmatched by any national Democrat.
The GOP and the Republican National Committee must be on all burners. And, most important of all, it must get out the Republican vote. Drag 'em to the polls. Give rides. Hijack buses. Anything. The only poll that counts is the one on election day.
October 11, 2018 |